Ready To Come Out Of COVID-19 Hibernation Yet? Your Chances Of Getting Infected are 1 in 4000; your chances of dying of COVID-19 coronavirus is 1 in 19.1 million. Your chance of benefiting from vaccination is proportionate to these same numbers.
By Bill Sardi
June 26, 2020
Americans don’t need to wait to learn how safe and effective a newly licensed COVID-19 coronavirus vaccine will be. The risk/benefit odds for vaccination cannot exceed the odds that a person will become infected or die of COVID-19 coronavirus.
According to university researchers, your odds of acquiring COVID-19 coronavirus infection from contact with an infected person is 1 in 3868 (ranges from in 626 to 1 in 31,800) and the odds of dying from COVID-19 is 1 in 19.1 million (ranges from 1 in 3.1 million to 1 in 159 million). These estimates are without citizens taking precautions such as face-masks and social distancing. So says a study conducted by Stanford University and University of California, Los Angeles researchers who analyzed data from the top 100 populous counties in the U.S. (study awaits peer review and publication).
The effectiveness of any vaccine that may be licensed in the future cannot exceed the existing risk in the community. If these figures are accurate, Americans have a remote chance of ever benefiting from vaccination and will not know the side effect safety ratio of a vaccine until millions of Americans have been immunized.
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